DWP estimated no more than 5000 pre 96 exempt case. I estimated 40,000 a big difference.
Merseyside has 5 councils each of whom have stock transferred organisations running the former council housing. I have preliminary figures from two of these in St Helens and Wirral which total over 900 cases and both equate to around 15% of bedroom tax cases in their respective LA areas (see below too).
Merseyside has 24,286 confirmed cases of bedroom tax according to latest DWP figures and so if this 15%is replicated across the 5 councils it would be 3,625 pre 96 cases in Merseyside alone.
Anyone think the DWP estimate of 5000 total case for Merseyside’s 5 councils PLUS another 340 or so local councils is a good one?
Note too that these are figures from JUST the stock transferred HAs and while these will be the major social landlords in their council area the figures do not include HA cases and in Merseyside there are some large HAs such as Riverside, Symphony (LHT and Cobalt) Regenda and so when the figures for these HAs are added the 15% figure I am using here could well be higher.
Yesterday it was revealed Nottingham has around 800 or so cases so just Merseyside and Nottingham have 4400 or so between them. I would strongly suspect nearby areas such as Halton, Wigan and Salford and the rest of Greater Manchester will probably triple this overall figure alone and then just how many with the rest of the North West add to this. I suspect the NW alone will have over 10,000 cases and closer to 15,000 pre 96 exempt cases..
Then there is the North East oh and Scotland oh and Wales and Yorks and Humber regions…
Of course some of these cases may not be proven, but then how many cases still to be discovered through successions to the tenancy? How many other more difficult to find cases will emerge too.
DWP and 5000? Just thinking of all those journalists and media sites who simply regurgitated this risible DWP estimate and take a bow BBC and Inside Housing….oh dear!
If anyone gets figures from any LA area or large landlord why not simply put them below as a comment….